Congratulations to amacam for winning regal eagle and celebrating with all the way hashbrowns at WaHo. And just so I’m clear, I’m also absolutely disgusted by that food. #gross #congrats
so as you may or may not have read, I attempted to guess the Oscar nominations this morning. Well, this was one of the most surprising nomination ceremonies I’ve ever seen. There were more upsets, surprises, and snubs than any year. Some of them were great for the people who got surprise nominations, but someone getting a surprise nomination means someone else gets left out, and in the Best Director Category, there was an unforgivable crime. I am referring to Ben Affleck not getting nominated for Best Director.
Argo, which is my favorite film of the year, took a story that everyone pretty much knew the end to, and made it thrilling as hell. The pacing, the acting, the story, the locations, everything was superb. This is all mainly due to Ben Affleck’s amazing directorial effort. I honestly walked into Argo expecting a boring, slow movie about government. I walked out with my heart beating a million beats a second and saying “BEN AFFLECK BETTER WIN AN OSCAR”. And he didn’t even get nominated? That my friends, is pure bullshittery. Not only did Ben Affleck superbly direct this film, but this also risks that he does more acting instead of directing, which is no bueno. I hate to say it, but he’s really not a great actor. In fact, I think the only thing that I didn’t really LOVE about Argo was his performance. He was good and solid, but nothing drawdropping, but his direction was. So now I wonder why he got snubbed, and I think I have the answer. This is something I call The Chris Daughtry Theory.
The Chris Daughtry Theory is simple. Let’s all do a throwback to 2006, American Idol Season 5. It is between Chris Daughtry and Katherine McPhee to be eliminated. Chris Daughtry was amazing the night before, McPhee was meh. Guess who gets eliminated? Daughtry. How? This is where my theory comes in. I believe when voting, people often feel vote safety, if you will. This means that as a country, we all assumed Chris Daughtry would have plenty of votes to be safe, so we piled them on to Elliot Yamin who was not quite as secure. Because of this, Elliot Yamin I believe got the most votes that night, and Daughtry was sent home. I think this happened here. It was so assumed that Affleck would get nominated, that voters listed their #1 as someone more obscure, deserving, but obscure. So with that said, I offer the following message. When voting for something, always vote for your #1. Even if you think you’re throwing away your vote, you aren’t. Unless its for the People’s Choice Awards…those are rigged. But in any other instance. And to the Oscar voters: Argo F—k Yourselves.
E-rock, who’s in da House
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so tomorrow morning is always one of my favorite mornings of the year. At 8:30 AM EST (5:30 in the west coast), Emma Stone and Seth McFarlane will take the stage and announce the nominees for the academy awards. From about Thanksgiving to Spring break, my entire life is consumed with Oscar tracking, so tomorrow morning is one of the biggest days of the year. These nominations are absolutely humongous deals. This announcement takes an actor, and makes him an Academy Award Nominated Actor. That may sound obvious, but it is a level of esteem and achievement that is unparalleled. So who will be joining this prestigious club of Oscar Nominees that includes members like Jonah Hill and Eminem? Here’s who I think. I will list the people/movies I believe will be nominated alphabetically, and also a few potential “spoilers”. These “spoilers” are right on the cusp nominations that you shouldn’t be too shocked to hear tomorrow morning. These are arranged in the order I think they would be nominated. With that said, lets start with the biggest one of them all:
Best Picture (There can be anywhere between 5-10 nominees, and I’m forecasting 8)
Potential Spoilers: Amour, Moonrise Kingdom„ Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, The Master, Skyfall
Potential Spoilers:Tom Hooper (Les Mis), Michael Haneke (Amour),David O Russell (Silver Linings Playbook), Paul Thomas Anderson (The Master)
Potential Spoilers: Joaquin Phoenix (The Master), Jean Louis Trintignant (Amour), Richard Gere (Arbitrage), Jack Black (Bernie)
Potential Spoilers: Quvenzhane Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild), Rachel Weisz (The Deep Blue Sea), Helen Mirren (Hitchcock)
Best Supporting Actor
Potential Spoilers (Supporting Acting and Screenplay always have surprises): Christoph Waltz (Django), Mathew McConaughey (Magic Mike), Javier Bardem (Skyfall), Eddie Redmayne (Les Mis)
Best Supporting Actress
Potential Spoilers: Maggie Smith (Best Exotic Marigold Hotel), Judi Dench (Skyfall), Ann Dowd (Compliance), Samantha Barks (Les Mis)
Best Original Screenplay
Potential Spoilers: Amour, Flight, Magic Mike
Best Adapted Screenplay
Potential Spoilers: Life of Pi, Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, Les Mis
Best Animated Film
Potential Spoilers: The Painting, Rise of the Guardians, Madagascar, The Lorax
Well, there we go. These are my official predictions for the nominations, and by tomorrow morning we will know. For reference, last year of the candidates I said that would be “nominated”, I guessed 36 correctly, and 7 incorrectly. Thats about 84%, and thats pretty damn good if you ask me. Additionally, 5 of the candidates I listed as “spoilers” got nominated, so I’ll give myself a full point for all that and give me last year around an 85% success rate. Hopefully this year we can match it or beat it? If you disagree with me, I’d love to hear your thoughts in my inbox. Thanks for reading.
E-rock, who’s in da house
edit-here’s a link to my post from last year: http://e-rockindahouse.tumblr.com/post/16381825140/oscar-nomination-predictions
Anonymous asked: how is your falcons bracket optimistic if you only have them winning once....? is that a joke? seattles not great and theres no way they would lose to san fran, maybe green bay though. smh optimistic
I honestly believe that the seahawks are a great team who will put up a tough fight on Sunday, and I believe it will be between maybe 3-7 points in the final score. The 49ers are one of the best teams in football and are a tough opponent. I honestly hope we can beat the seahawks, and if we beat the 49ers, I’ll be THRILLED
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